Why your household’s Jaws Ratio matters

The key ingredience to your financial wellbeing

Sometimes I hear people say that achieving Financial Independence is only for people with

  • either great wealth,
  • and/or a very high income job,
  • or an extremely frugal lifestyle,
  • and/or particular investment skills,
  • or a great deal of luck in life (e.g. a windfall which would put these people financially in a positon so that they can leave their job).

Over the last decade, I have been extremely interested in personal finance in general and in the topic Financial Independence Early Retirement (FIRE) in particular.

That’s why I have started this blog to document our path to Financial Independence by 2024 and sharing our experiences along the way and giving tips on various topics such as

From my own experience and from what I have read over the last decade, pursuing Financial Independence is certainly not just for millionaires. In essence, it all buils down to

By the way, I am referring here to a household’s wellbeing in general. Not everyone wants to achieve Financial Independence.

But in case you want to become financially independent in 10 to 20 years, that’s perfectly possible. Yes, the higher your wealth and/or your salary is, the easier it might be.

But here’s the catch: I high income could also make it even harder.

Why is that?

Because high income households are quite “vulnerable” to a Creeping Lifestyle Inflation (read here How Lifestyle Inflation takes your freedom).

On MyFinancialShape I often write about establishing an ever growing passive income stream by investing into dividend paying stocks such as Nestlé, The Coca Cola Company, PepsiCo etc. I document our monthly cash flow streams from our investment portfolios. I write about some of the best long term dividend stocks, about dividend reinvestments and on taking advantage of the compound effect to accumulate substantial wealth over time.

But in essence, when we are talking about achieveing Financial Independence, it really just boils down to the Savings Rate.

The Savings Rate tells you

Tracking, analysing, streamlining and optimising the cost structure is key.

A positive Jaws Ratio reduces risks, enhances profitability and flexibility

Mister Money Mustache wrote a brilliant article with the title Frugality as a Muscle. I highly recommend his blog in general and to have a look at that article in particular.

Here’s your “workout to gain financial muscles” that I would recommend:

  • know all your cost positons;
  • write them down, track them month by month in an excel sheet;
  • group the positions into fixed costs blocks (such as insurances, rent etc.) on one side and discretionary spendings (such as holidays etc.) on the other side;
  • analyse all cost positons and assess whether you could optimise them without significant disadvantages (these are the low hanging fruits);
  • discretionary spendings often can be influenced immediately but make sure you are cutting costs for things that don’t mean much to you;
  • get creative, many spendings positons could be altered quite easily (e.g. insurance shopping, improving costs by comparing, negotiationg, changing);
  • But always keep in mind: it’s absolutely important to remain motivated and enjoy the path toward Financial Independence as its a long term goal
  • tackle in particular the fixed costs because once they are streamlined, there is a recurring benefit. Fixed costs are always to the detriment of a household’s financial flexibility, as it takes most often six to 12 months to have an influence on them.
  • know all your income sources, track them monthly and work on adding passive income sources to them, diversify your cash flow streams over time.
  • And last but not least on the list: apply the Jaws Ratio Concept!

If you know your cost structure you can optimize it over time and even plan your spendings.

You get full control over your financial life. You then have created options. You have then a tremendously strong position, for instance towards your employer. That’s what sets you apart from the majority of people.

And here’s another point: if you can change your total costs faster than your income dynamic, then you are so much better off than litterally anybody you know.

And here comes the Jaws Ratio Concept which can have a life-changing effect.

I wrote an article How to use Jaws Ratio to improve finances some years ago. On how that concept – which originially has been used in the context of corporate finance and security analysis – could (and should) be applied in personal finance to optimise a household’s financial position over time. If you haven’t read that article, I would definitively recommend to have a look at it.

The Jaws Ratio tells you whether your income grows faster than your spendings or the other way around.

You can calculate it with the following formula:

Jaws Ratio = Income Growth Rate – Expense Growth Rate

The Jaws Ratio can either be positive or negative depending on whether the income increase surpasses the expense increase or not. A positive result means that income grew stronger than expenses and therefore profitability increased.

I know people that got a pay rise, got promotions year after year which led to fast growing income. The savings rate was shooting up. But make no mistake: an increasing savings rate does not necessarily mean that your personal finances are healthy.

Here’s the flipside these people are often confronted with: if spendings have been climbing at a faster pace than income, then the household is in a very risky position.

As we all know, cash income streams can abruptly change, they can plummet dramatically or even stop completely. Just think of losing your job.

Income streams can all of a sudden dry out and litterally go to zero. By the way, that’s also why it’s important to have Passive Income Sources and diversify and strengthen them over time.

But costs always remain. It’s pretty tough cutting spendings in a matter of a few weeks, but it is completely feasible doing so over the medium and long run. As said, frugality is like a muscle which can and should be trained.

My wife and I have been applying the concept of Jaws Ratio for years. For instance, we reduced our work pensa from 100 % to 80 % while still keeping a more or less unchanged savings rate.

That was possible because we managed to slash our costs by more than the reduction of our work incomes. A 20 % salary drop should be accompanied by measures that lower the cost basis by at least 20 % which results in a Positive Jaws Ratio.

A Positive Jaws Ratio signifies

  • improved profitability of the household,
  • more flexibility and
  • also a lower risk profile.

But in contrast, when costs climbe faster than cash income streams that results in a Negative Jaws Ratio. It’s then vital to detect such a development at a relatively early stake and take measures. That’s why, the Jaws Ratio Concept really is so essential.

So, just track for each year, whether your income has been moving in line with your spendings. If that’s the case, put the process forward, make sure you always have a Positive Jaws Ratio and you are are seeing your journey towards gaining financial flexibility put on autopilot.

July 2021 Financial Update

Welcome to the monthly Passive Income Update on My Financial Shape,the blog where I document the journey of our family of four to Financial Independence by 2024 through a combination of savings and investing in particular into

In this article, I want to share with you

  • the progress we made in terms of passive income generation,
  • how our stock investments have been recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic hit
  • and also give you some insights on our July dividend contributors.

Annual passive income goal in full sight

For 2021, we set the target of at least USD 15’000 in total dividend and interest income.

Over the first seven months of 2021, over Swiss francs 9’000 resp. USD 9’000 have been generated by our stock holding positions and Peer to Peer investments, which means that we achieved already 66 % of our annual passive income goal!

That’s quite good progress, compared to the first seven months in 2020, when our dividend portfolio experienced severe headwinds amid the COVID-19 pandemic and global lockdowns. In the comparable time period in the previous year, the sum of our passive income stood at USD 6’700. So in the current year passive income generation is significantly higher with + 47 % whereas a write-down of roughly USD 2’500 on our P2P in 2020 has to be taken into account.

Robust recovery on all fronts

In 2020, strong businesses had to cut or even eliminate their dividends, such as

  • French luxury giant Louis Vuitton Moet Hennessey (LVMH)
  • The Walt Disney Company
  • German car rental company SIXT etc.

I held all our share positions through 2020 and was even buying quite aggressively, adding many new stock holdings, in particular in the tech sector.

Going with great businesses through thick and thin and having a long term vision pays off handsomely. Investors are quite unforgiving when businesses cut their dividends.

But just look at the stock price dynamic of LVMH, The Walt Disney Company and SIXT:

LVMH slowly and quite silently has become on of my largest stock holdings. Yes, in March 2020 the share price fell quite strongly, but just look how nicely it not only recovered, but has been littterally shooting up. LVMH truly is a diamond, certainly an expensive one, but definitively a wonderful business worth holding pieces of for the long haul.

While LVMH has eventually been a beneficiary of the pandemic, acquiring competitor Tiffany at a very attractive price, The Walt Disney Company has been another winner.

But even some smaller companies in my stock portfolio have been able to capitalize on market disruptions amid the pandemic, such as German rental company SIXT.

Tough timesreally made SIXT a winner.

Our portfolio not only has seen a very robust recovery in terms of book value, but also with regard to dividend payments.

LVMH for instance not only re-instated its shareholder distributions in 2021, but also hiked the dividend by 50 %.

Oil giant Royal Dutch Shell which drastically reduced its shareholder payouts in 2020 by a whopping 60 % is working hard to resume its dividends by increasing the distributions by 15 % and then by another 37 % in two consecutive quarters. We are still below the level of 2020, but things are moving into the right direction when it comes to the oil supermajors.

Fellow blogger European Dividend Growth Investor made a very interesting video plus post with the title Big Oil is back? A comparison of the 5 oil majors which you should check out if you are interested in the topic.

A brief look at our July Dividend Contributors

In July, nine businesses paid us the amount of CHF 297 resp. roughly USD 330.

British softdrink maker BRITVIC was hit particularily hard from the lockdowns and eliminated in 2020 its dividend but resumed its payout in 2021 which is definitively a good thing to see. Its stock price has recovered also nicely.

Let’s look at our other July dividend contributors.

McCormick is an American multinational food company, manufacturing and distributing spices and seasoning mixes. The business was relatively resilient through the pandemic and even managed to hike its dividend by 10 %. McCormick is a so-called Dividend Aristocrat, a exquisite group of businesses that managed to increase their shareholder payouts for at least 25 consecutive years.

The Coca Cola Company has been for years in my portfolio and of course has been hit by the global lockdowns. Consumption of beverages has been much lower in 2020 amid the closure of restaurants, bars, parks etc. But the giant is back on track and Free Cash Flow Generation has improved significantly. Another positive is the fact that The Coca Cola Company is further diversifying its product range.

Pernod Ricard is a French alcohol producer with a very strong brand portfolio, including Absolut Vodka, Havanna Club Rum, Malibu, Mumm Champagne, Martell Cognac etc. Due to its amazing grobal footprint and excellent management, Pernod Ricard navigated quite well through the international lockdowns and supply chain distributions, which is reflected in the stock price.

Mexican Fresnillo is the world largest producer of silver and Total Energies and British Petroleum (BP) are two of my oil supermajor positions. Total Energies has been particularily robust. BP has always shown an instable cash flow generation pattern but let’s not forget that this giant is still “digesting” the huge fine it has to pay for the oil spill in the gulf of Mexiko in 2010. In my view it’s quite probable to see BP’s cash generation stabilizing and grow in the years to come, which combined with a very attractive stock price and dividend reinvestments should make it a very interesting investment case.

Porsche Automobil SE is the main shareholder of the Volkswagen Group which itself has following ten car companies under its umbrella: Porsche, Audi, Lamborghini, Bugatti, Bentley, SEAT, Daccia, Ducatti, Man and Scania. I acquired stocks of Porsche SE years ago, in the midst of the so-called Diesel Crisis. Buying stocks of a solid business when it is experiencing some strong but not lethal pressure can pay off handsomely. The stock price has been climbing up through the years from around EUR 35 to almost EUR 100, and what’s best: Porsche Automobil Holding has been a very generous dividend payer through the years. Porsche Automobil Holding in essence just holds stocks of the Volkswagen Group plus a lot of cash. The shares trade at a discount to the market value of its holding position which can often be seen with that kind of businesses. See the Beauty of Holding Company Stocks.

What about you, fellow reader? How was your July in terms of investing and dividends?

Thanks for sharing in the commentary section below.

Disclaimer
You are responsible for your own investment and financial decisions. This article is not, and should not be regarded as investment advice or as a recommendation regarding any particular security or course of action.

July 2021 Crypto Portfolio Update

Dear fellow reader, thanks for stopping by for a new update on my Crypto Portfolio which I started in February.

A brief look at our stock investment performance

First, what happened to our shareholding positions?

Well, global stock markets continued their bull run and in particular our Tech Stock Holdings have been pushed up quite nicely.

In particular Facebook, Shopify, Cloudflare, Amazon, Alphabet. Microsoft and Apple have been jumping from All Time High to All Time High.

I keep all winners running, in fact in the last ten years I have in general been adding and avoid selling stocks or rebalancing too much.

But also several positions in our Dividend Stock Portfolio had a great run in the last few weeks too. Swiss pharma giant Roche for instance has been a very strong holding position for almost a decade and has been rewarding me with an ever increasing dividend income stream and finally, it has hit All time High. But consumer staples like Nestlé and PepsiCo have been moving up strongly.

Our total stock investments with a market value of roughly USD 450’000 have moved higher by around 5 % in July alone. so a very nice boost to our wealth.

How about Cryptos in July?

The universe of Crypto Applications- and Currencies is huge.

As per July, I have invested around USD 4’000 into four positions and made no changes (no additions, no selling compared to the last crypto investment update).

Currently, my Crypto portfolio has a market value of Swiss francs (CHF) 3’000 resp. around USD 3’300 whereas I am sitting on a book loss of roughly 23 %. or USD 700.

As a Buy and Hold Investor, I like to take a long term view. When prices come down, I like to think about adding more positions.

Currently, I am considering putting another USD 1’000 into Cryptos, equally distributed on the four current positions.

I’ll keep you updated how my new crypto investment portfolio has developed and how the positions have performed since they have been acquired.

What about you? Are you invested in Cryptos as well? Have you made any moves lately?

Thanks for sharing in the commentary section below.

Disclaimer
You are responsible for your own investment and financial decisions. This article is not, and should not be regarded as investment advice or as a recommendation regarding any particular security or course of action.

How lifestyle inflation takes your freedom

Costs tend to creep up, if you take no actions

Almost every household is confronted with that phenomenon: Lifestyle Inflation. It means that costs climb with income (for instance after a pay rise), all too often disproportionally.

What’s the problem with Lifestyle Inflation?

Well, it decreases the profitability of a household.

There is nothing wrong per se with consuming and enjoying an increasing salary, but there’s a flipside as climbing spendings often go hand in hand with a massively growing fixed cost block. This means people build up cost positions they cannot scale back in the short term.

For instance

  • renting a larger apartment leads to a higher rent
  • and higher costs for house insurance
  • as new furniture is bought etc.

The list goes on an on, and fixed costs are adding up really fast.

Fixed costs are to the detriment of the financial fexibility and stability of a household.

People tend to focus on discretionary spendings, such as going out to restaurants every week. These cost positions are low hanging fruits when someone wants to cut spendings to save money.

But let’s look at the fixed cost block and think about that: how fast could you slash your spendings for your rent and insurances if you lost your job or earned substantially less from one day to another? It could easily require months, even a year, to adapt your cost structure.

Eroding profitability of a household due to Lifestyle Inflation enhances its risk position and makes people stuck in a rat race having to work more and more just to pay their bills.

Lifestyle Inflation happens often slowly, over time, it’s a creeping process.

So how to tackle lifestyle creep and increase your financial shape?

It’s possible to keep Lifestyle Inflation at a minimum if you are conscious of that effect and take action. Many good things happen in a financial sense if you hold costs steady (or only marginally increasing) while boosting your income. You gain a whole lot of flexibility in life, and with consistency, patience and hard work, achieving Financial Independence becomes a viable option.

Focus not on the salary but on your savings rate

It was a few years ago that I followed a conversation between two guys, one of them planning to buy a house for USD 1 Mio in a rural area.

That guy told his friend, that the down payment would be USD 250’000 and that he had saved that amount during the last 10 years.  He said that his nest egg surpassed at least his “spending budget” of one year.

As the conversation went on, the future home owner said that – considering his high salary of USD 300’000 annually – his bank better offered him an attractive interest rate for the mortgage. After all, he added with a wink in his eye, he was now a millionaire.

That conversation showed a general misconception many people have on wealth and income.

Wealth is what you accumulate over time, not what you earn. The key factor in the process of wealth building is the saving rate. A high salary does not automatically translate into substantial wealth.

Read more… »

First Semester 2021 Passive Income

Establishing solid passive income streams is the first step to set a compounding machine in motion, putting us more and more into a position where we are less and less reliant on our daily jobs.

As long term oriented Dividend Income Investors, shareholder distributions from over 60 stock postions have been our main passive income sources in the past years, together with interest income from corporate bonds and Peer to Peer and Crowdlending Investments.

In June, roughly Swiss francs (CHF) 1’225 (USD 1’350) have been generated by our investments. Roughly 18 % lower compared to the same month in the last year. This was soleley due to one technical aspect: British insurer Legal & General – one of our largest divident payer (contributing almost USD 600 per semester) – last year made its semestrial payout in June while in 2021 that payout has been made in May.

For 2021, we set our target of at least USD 15’000 in total passive cash income.

Let’s look at the first semester 2021. In the first six months of 2021, over Swiss francs (CHF) 8’700 have been generated from our investments, corresponding to around USD 9’721. So, almost 65 % of our annual target has already been achieved.

Compared to the first semester 2020, we saw a very nice Year over Year increase of roughly 37 % amid several stock positions having resumed their dividend payouts. In the first semester 2020, we also had to make a write-down of over USD 2’000 due to the collapes of two Crowdlending Platforms (Kuetzal and Envestio) I had invested in. That write-down very negatively impacted our 2020 annual passive income results which stood at around USD 10’000.

But 2021 will be significantly stronger and our passive income sources as a group are now much more diversified and more resilient.

So, as for now, it looks very realistic to smash our USD 15’000 annual passive income goal, which sets us one step further towards Financial Independence which we want to achieve by the end of 2024.

How was your June in terms of Passive Income?

Disclaimer
You are responsible for your own investment and financial decisions. This article is not, and should not be regarded as investment advice or as a recommendation regarding any particular security or course of action.